Guest

This post is by a guest poster. If you would like to write something for the Open Knowledge Foundation blog, please see the submissions page.

More Reading

Post navigation

13 Comments

  • While the uselessness of most “data” (open or not) seems a commonplace, we also need to admit that most of what we consider “knowledge” does very little to make our mortal lives better. A theory of change with knowledge as its driver seems naively “scientistic”: like a theory of cake without a mouth.

  • Duncan, like yourself I am an advocate of open data and of open development but not an uncritical one. The field is currently dominated by white, urban, male, university-educated, geeky types – like you and I – so there is a question about the extent to which it is truly ‘open’. We need to enable the meaningful participation of a broader and more diverse base for openness to realise its full potential. Just for fun I have had a first hack at a theory of change here http://www.appropriatingtechnology.org/?q=node/129

  • My concern is that the Open Data movement — which is currently so in vogue — will detract from other equally (if not more) important opportunities to improve availability and utilization of data.

  • Thanks, Duncan. I agree this is an area with a lot of fuzzy thinking, so it is good to be skeptical. Still, like Vinny, I’m generally in favor. I think government openness is more likely to do good than harm, and it shouldn’t be hard for it to do enough good to justify the modest cost (modest compared to, say, building 10,000 schools). For me the theory of change is quite broad and goes like this: information is power; a government that opens information bestows power on other, weaker actors; this small step toward parity between political actors constitutes political development, and possibly economic development as well if the information is commercially useful. Precise consequences cannot be anticipated but will mostly be good.
    That’s the theory anyway.
    –David

  • I’m glad you’ve set things out like this because it’s engaging to read but I think you land a glancing rather than a finishing blow on this topic for two reasons.

    Firstly, I don’t think the movement about open data is necessarily about outcomes in the first instance. I rather think it’s about probability. A forensic understanding and drive for outcomes is useful and I applaud it. But whilst this picture builds, let’s not junk the notion that in all likelihood openness raises chances of better results on balance. For the same reason I strongly suspect I am much safer driving in the dark with the headlights on than I am with them off.

    Secondly, let’s take a lead here from high-end science. The Higgs Boson was evidenced last year many, many years after the first theory. It eventually discovered clues to much of the unknown universe. It also cost a lot of money. Openness is highly complex too and we may need an equivalent of the Hadron Collider to evidence it. But it doesn’t necessarily mean we should give up. Yes, open data isn’t everything. But neither is it nothing. That bit of magic in the middle of the theory of change could be really rather important. Not the whole revolution, but in all likelihood an important factor.

    • Hi Vinny,
      Just to clarify, I am not intending to harm or finish off “openness”. In fact I am a huge advocate of both openness and technology. My point is that we need to be doing this better and think more carefully about how we might be able to demonstrate the impact of the work that we are doing.

      As you note Openness is highly complex, particularly when you ground it in the complexity of the society within which we live, and utilise principles of openness to bring about change. I feel that in many cases this complexity is not being adequately considered in the planning and implementation of initiatives.

      If I understand your first point correctly regarding probability rather than outcomes – what you are getting at is the value of openness in increasing the probability of new outcomes being possible? I would agree there is also huge value in this too – Steven Johnson describes this as the Adjacent Possible which – “captures both the limits and the creative potential of change and innovation. The strange and beautiful truth about the adjacent possible is that its boundaries grow as you explore them. Each new combination opens up the possibility of other new combinations.”

      Cheers,
      Duncan

      • Thanks for your reply Duncan. It’s possible I took your Gill Scott Heron mantra too strongly, though it maybe left itself open to an extreme interpretation.

  • You got a point of great value: the process applied to “open data” is key to change.
    True, I agree.
    Do not forget that the process does not start without data and the “power” prevents the access to data, manipulate the data, delay the delivery of data in order to destroy any possibility to understand and take actions by citizens !

  • Great post. As an enabler, we do need to develop some theories, and/or use existing ones, to better understand the potential of open data to disrupt and change the world we live in. I suspect that its real power will lie not in itself, but as part of the wider ‘open’ movement.

  • The idea of a Theory of Change that would explain how openness makes a difference is a very interesting one. I have recognised a similar need and I’ve dreamed about some sort of publication or forum that would gather researchers interested in open knowledge to discuss different theories that underline a particular view on open knowledge, with the aim of creating a more unified view. The first attempt to create such a discourse was The Open Book (http://theopenbook.org.uk/), but we would certainly benefit of a more theoretical debate. I’m a bit skeptic that we can find one theory to explain it all, but most probably there will be a few key theories, such as those related to open society or open innovation. But it would be good for the open knowledge movement to increase theoretical understanding of the subject, most definitely!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

back to top